The expiry of the U.S’s Memorandum of Understanding with Iran on Monday with no indication of any extension has left Washington with no clear exit strategy, six months since it launched attacks on Iran along with Israel. This is evidenced in President Donald Trump’s erratic stances on the war, expressed via his statements.
The chart shows an alternation between crude threats of destruction — for instance on March 21, he said that U.S. will destroy Iran’s power plants if Tehran didn’t fully open the Strait of Hormuz — and softened rhetoric when three days later he said that the U.S. and Iran had a productive conversation about resolution (denied by the Iranians).
The yo-yo nature of his statements show how the Trump administration has been stuck in a quagmire following its actions, which lacked a clear strategic objective for the Americans.
Rising petrol and fertilizer prices, the increased costs of waging the war, and the weakening of military advantages have caught it in a bind.
Contrary to Mr.Trump’s assertions on the weakening of Tehran, Iran has not budged from its positions, despite being subject to intense bombing and a renewed naval blockade. Meanwhile, the aerial bombing, missiles and drone-led retaliations by Iran have created a new bottleneck for the U.S. and its allies, who are running low on critical munitions.
This will also come at a great cost. According to estimates by CSIS, the Trump administration’s actions in Iran, till June alone, have already incurred huge costs (~$40 billion).
Iran’s determination to withstand the blockade is costing the U.S. both militarily and monetarily.
The data for the charts were sourced from Truthsocial, Centre for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), and Armed Conflict Location & Event Data (ACLED)
